Insurance companies provide unique financial services to the growth and development of every
economy. in Ethiopia, the business of insurance plays significant intermediary roles in terms of
risk transferring, enhancing private investment, creation of job opportunities and ensuring
various development related projects.
For insurance companies to be sustainable in the
competitive globalized environment, earning profit is a pre requisite. in the absence of profit,
insurers can’t attract outside capital so as to meet their objectives.
The profitability of insurance
companies can be affected by a number of factors such as age, size, leverage ratio, premium growth,
capital growth, tangibility ratio, liquidity ratio, loss ratio, market share, GDP growth and inflation
rate.
Some of these factors might have a positive impact on the insurers’ profitability while others could have a negative effect. Furthermore, some of these factors that affect insurers’ profitability
could be under the control of the insurers’ management ȋinternal factorsȌ whereas others might
be out of its control ȋexternal factorsȌ.
Understanding the internal and external factors that can
have an impact on the profitability of insurers is essential not only for the insurance managers and
supervisors but also for policy makers and regulators. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to
clearly identify the key determinants of profitability of insurance companies in the country.
Operational definitions of independent variables
In this study, the return on assets ȋROAȌ is used as a measure of insurance companies’ profitability
against which various internal and external variables were regressed. )nternal variables are those
that managers of insurance company have control over them.
In another words, these are factors
that are often influenced by policies and decisions of the insurers’ management. External variables
are those that are beyond the control of management of insurance companies. The operational
definitions of those variables are provided below;
Insurer’s size [isz]
Size of an insurance company is one of the most important variables
considered by the study. Because it is too difficult to precisely measure the size of insurance
companies, then the logarithm of total assets is used as a proxy for insurers’ size.
The main reason
for considering insurers’ size as a major determinant of profitability is that firstly, large insurers
usually have greater capacity for dealing with adverse market fluctuations than smaller ones and
the second is that insurers with large size can take advantages of economies of scale in terms of
labour cost.
Regardless of the above facts, however, there is no consensus among the different
researchers as long as the relationship between size of insurers and profitability is concerned in
the literature. As a result, the sign of insurers’ size and profitability is subject to further empirical
study.
Leverage ratio [Lvr]
the leverage ratio of an insurance company is defined as the ratio of debt
to equity. )t indicates the amount of debt used to finance the assets of a given firm. An insurance
company with significantly more debt than equity is considered to be highly leveraged.
The risk of
an insurer may increase when it increases its leverage. Literatures in capital structure confirm that
a firm’s value will increase up to optimum point as leverage increases and then declines if it is
further increased beyond that optimum level.
For instance, Renbao and Wong ȋʹͲͲͶȌ stated that
leverage beyond the optimum level could result in higher risk and low value of the firm. (arrington
ȋʹͲͲͷȌ also stated that the relationship between leverage and profitability has been studied
extensively to support the theories of capital structure and argued that insurance companies with
lower leverage will generally report higher return on assets ȋROAȌ. Therefore, the leverage ratio
is expected to have a negative relationship with profitability.
Capital adequacy ratio [cpa]
this refers to the excess of the value of assets over that of libilites
of insurance companies. In the context of finance literature, equity to asset ratio is used as a proxy
for capital adequacy. It is an important indicator of the financial strength of an insurer and also
shows its ability to survive in the long run.
Insurance companies with greater equity to asset ratio
are considered to be financially more sound and thereby capable of attracting various
policyholders. )n another words, insurance companies with higher capital adequacy ratio are
relatively assumed to be safe in times of loss and bankruptcy.
On the other hand, the higher the
ratio of equity to asset of insurers, the lower is the risk and this could pave a way to increase their
credit worthiness. Consequently, insurers will have lower cost of funding.
Furthermore,
insurance companies with higher equity to asset ratio will have less demand to raise funds from
external sources. (owever, it is very difficult to confirm what relationship exists between equity to asset ratio and profitability and as a result, it is subject to empirical study.
Liquidity ratio
this refers to the ability of an insurer to meet its short term obligations
when it is due. )t is commonly measured by the ratio of current assets to current liabilities. It also
shows the ability of an insurer to convert its assets in to cash as quickly as possible.
An insurer can
use liquid assets in order to finance its activities and investments in times when there is less
availability of external sources of funds. Low liquidity ratio indicates that an insurer is facing
difficulties in meeting its short term obligations.
On the other hand, an extremely high ratio of
liquidity could also mean that the insurer is keeping idle cash that could have generated income
by investing in profitable areas. Therefore, this makes the sign of liquidity ratio and profitability
to be unpredictable and consequently, subject to further investigation.
Loss ratio
is the ratio of total losses incurred ȋpaid and reservedȌ in claims plus adjustment
expenses divided by the total premiums earned. This ratio is one of the most important
profitability indicators for insurance companies.
Loss ratio, which is also expressed as the
underwriting risk in the relevant literature, shows the effectiveness of the underwriting activities
of insurance companies. In this study, loss ratio is calculated by dividing the incurred claims with
the earned premiums.
Insurance companies that consistently experience high loss ratios may be
in bad financial health. It is an indication that they are not collecting enough premiums to pay
claims, expenses, and still make a reasonable profit.
Accordingly, it is expected that loss ratio will
have a negative impact on the profitability of insurance companies.
Market share
market share is measured by the ratio of an insurer’s total assets to the
total assets of the insurance sector as a whole. It constitutes how much is the percentage of the
asset of a given insurance company in comparison to the total asset of the insurance industry.
The
higher the percentage of an insurer’s asset to the total asset of the insurance sector, the greater is
the market share and thereby better profitability. (owever, not all studies have found an evidence
that support market share and profitability are always positively related. As a result, the
anticipated sign is subject to empirical examination.
Real GDP growth rate
this reflects the economic activities and level of development of
a particular country over a specified time period, usually a year. It is one of the most primary
macroeconomic indicators which is used to measure the economic health of a country.
Poor
economic conditions can worsen the quality of the finance portfolio, thereby reducing profitability.
)f GDP grows, the likelihood of selling insurance policies also grows and insurers are likely to
benefit from that in form of higher profits.
Maja ȋʹͲͳʹȌ also studied that GDP growth positively
affects insurers profitability i.e. growth of overall economic activity encourage demand for
insurers services and indirectly result in harvesting higher profit. Therefore, it is expected that
growth rate of GDP will have a positive impact on insurers’ profitability.
Inflation rate
Based on Peter ȋͳͻͻʹȌ, the association between inflation rate and insurance
companies’ profitability relies up on the nature of inflation. i.e. whether the inflation is anticipated
or unanticipated. Therefore, the expected impact of inflation up on insurers’ profitability is subject to further empirical study.
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